Meta Platforms is primed for a big quarter with ads, AI push

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A rebound in advertising, the threat of regulation and the specter of AI are the overriding narrative themes when Meta Platforms Inc. reports its fourth-quarter results on Thursday.

Analysts are okay with that.

“Firing on All Cylinders,” Jefferies analyst Brent Thill said in a note Sunday, jacking his price target on Meta
META,
-1.30%
shares to $455 from $425. “Our recent digital ad checks have been the most positive we’ve seen in several
years.”

In raising his price target to $435 from $390, Seaport Research Partners analyst Aaron Kessler is looking at robust ad growth and outlook, an updated outlook on 2024 operating expenses, the impact of regulation on content for teens, and how AI initiatives will expand Meta’s business. [Meta is expected to escalate spending next year on Reality Labs as the company continues to develop its virtual-reality and augmented-reality push.]

To that end, Wells Fargo Securities analyst Ken Gawrelski is bullish on the immediate future: He models first-quarter revenue of between $33 billion to $35 billion, while analysts polled by FactSet expect $33.9 billion.

Evercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney predicts advertising revenue of $38.9 billion, 2% above the Street’s model. He says monthly active users should improve 2% to 3.03 billion.

The twin revenue engines of ads and AI are a compelling storyline… save for an aggressive federal regulatory climate that has the Federal Trade Commission looking at AI partnerships and investments — and another hearing on Capitol Hill.

Early Wednesday, the Senate Judiciary Committee was scheduled to grill Meta Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg, as well as CEOs from Snap Inc.
SNAP,
-1.64%,
TikTok, X and Discord on their products’ impact on kids safety online.

Analysts polled by FactSet expect earnings of $4.83 a share on sales of $39.1 billion.



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