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Russia, Iran, and China are intent on dividing Americans and undermining the US democratic system, and they may consider fomenting violence after the November 5 US elections, says US intelligence.
Foreign actors, particularly Russia, Iran, and China, remain intent on fanning divisive narratives to divide Americans and undermine Americans’ confidence in the US democratic system. These activities are consistent with what these actors perceive to be in their interests, even as their tactics continue to evolve.
Foreign operatives almost certainly will amplify false post-vote claims of election irregularities, and may use cyber attacks and espionage to disrupt or alter news and public government websites to promote confusion about the results and spread disinformation about the ballot-counting process, especially in races that are too close to call.
The US presidential race is expected to be tight, with a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Kamala Harris with a 46% to 43% lead over Donald Trump. China has no intention of interfering in the election and hopes that whoever wins “will be committed to growing sound and stable China-US ties,” said a Chinese embassy spokesperson.
The Russian embassy and Iran’s mission to the United Nations did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Russia and Iran previously have denied US election-meddling allegations.
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But US intelligence has not seen collaboration between Russia, China, and Iran in election influence activities. And while foreign actors might seek to disrupt the process on Election Day, feeding discontent, the voting system is secure enough that they could not alter the outcome. “Some foreign actors also have the capacity to stoke protests and take violent actions during this (post-election) period,” said an official from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). “In particular, Iran and Russia are probably willing to at least consider tactics that would contribute to such violence.”
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A declassified memorandum released after the briefing by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) – the top US intelligence analytical body – warned that foreign operatives almost certainly will amplify false post-vote claims of election irregularities.
They also may use cyber attacks and espionage to disrupt or alter news and public government websites to promote confusion about the results and spread disinformation about the ballot-counting process, especially in races that are too close to call.
Q: What is the US intelligence assessment on foreign interference in the US election?
A: US intelligence agencies assess that Russia, Iran, and China are intent on influencing the US election and dividing Americans, and may consider using physical threats and violence to achieve their goals.
Q: What is the likelihood of foreign interference in the election?
A: US intelligence agencies assess that foreign actors will likely use social media and other online platforms to spread disinformation and propaganda, and may use cyber attacks and espionage to disrupt the election.
Q: What is the Trump campaign’s response to these allegations?
A: The Trump campaign has denied any involvement in election interference, and has accused President Biden and his team of spreading misinformation.
Q: What is the US government’s stance on election interference?
A: The US government has taken a strong stance against election interference, and has condemned Russian and other foreign efforts to influence the outcome of the election.
Q: What is the impact of foreign interference on the US election?
A: Foreign interference in the US election could undermine the legitimacy of the election, and could lead to political instability and conflict.
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